BizJournals Portfolio

We, the Debtors

When all is said and done, the federal debt doesn't really belong to the government. It's the peoples' debt, and the people are going to have to cut it and share the sacrifice.

Budget Plan Dances on Third Rail of Politics Budget Plan Dances on Third Rail of Politics

The co-chairs of President Barack Obama's commission to reduce the deficit are going bold with their recommendations—targeting entitlements like Social Security and Medicare to start bringing the budget back into balance. Read More

An Alternative Stimulus Plan An Alternative Stimulus Plan

Instead of extending tax cuts for the wealthy, Senator Mark Warner suggests a pro-business alternative: Tax breaks on business investments. Read More

Travelers CEO: Deal With the Debt Now!

What's the biggest obstacle facing business today? For Travelers CEO Jay Fishman, the unprecedented flow of government red ink is making chief executives nervous and preventing businesses from expanding. Read More
Debt

When all is said and done, the federal debt doesn't really belong to the government. It's the peoples' debt, and the people are going to have to cut it and share the sacrifice.

There's no question that sooner or later the debt needs to be brought under control. The debate is over when and how. The hawks want it reduced immediately. Others say that it makes more sense to wait until the economy is on a stronger footing. Paul Krugman says the country should "devise a plan for putting the nation’s fiscal house in order, while waiting until a solid economic recovery is under way before wielding the ax."

Yet the ax will be wielded, sooner or later. The deficit—the amount by which the U.S. budget is in the red in a given year—was 8.9 percent of GDP in fiscal year 2010, which ended on September 30. That's uncomfortably close to the 12.7 percent level that has created havoc in Greece.

That balance sheet is holding back the economy by creating uncertainty about the outlook for inflation. It discourages CEOs from investing in new plants and equipment and people. Travelers CEO Jay Fishman all but pleaded last week for the government to address the problem.

President Obama's bipartisan National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform issued a tough preliminary report last week that would cut the federal workforce by 10 percent, raise the retirement age, gradually, to 69, and end tax breaks such as the mortgage-interest deduction. The tax structure would be simplified, lowering rates for many, but closing loopholes.

Over time, the plan would balance the budget. "If the plan was adopted in its entirety, it would reduce the deficit to 2.2 percent of gross domestic product by 2015, exceeding the target set for the panel by the White House of lowering the deficit to 3 percent of GDP, but it would still take until 2037 to balance the budget entirely," the Wall Street Journal noted.

Similar balancing acts have led to fatal uprisings in Greece, strikes in France, and a violent protest in Britain. The U.S. is different, to some extent, because there's actual grassroots support for cutting back the deficit and slowly reducing the outstanding debt, which is playing havoc in the currency markets and the global economy and hurting the business environment in the U.S.

But there will be mounting opposition to specific reform proposals. There will be widespread pain, including the small businesses that traditionally drive job growth. As government spending slows down, lucrative government contracts for small companies will be more scarce. And while the government seems willing to lower taxes on R&D, net taxes paid by high-earning small-business owners could rise. That damage may be the price of dispelling the fiscal uncertainty that concerns Fishman.

Some pain, however, is inevitable. Getting the country's balance sheet in order isn't as simple as having lawmakers pass a bill. That's just the beginning, not the end, of fiscal reform. The "budget" is just words and numbers, an abstract description of spending and revenues, which are real. Eventually, the price of fiscal freedom will work its way back to every person in the United States.


Steve Rosenbush is the blogs/industry editor for Portfolio.com.

Comments

If you are commenting using a Facebook account, your profile information may be displayed with your comment depending on your privacy settings. By leaving the 'Post to Facebook' box selected, your comment will be published to your Facebook profile in addition to the space below.

Connect With Portfolio.com

Come on, like us—you know you want to.

Follow us and if you're an innovative entrepreneur, we'll return the favor.

Today's top stories, conversation starters, and the back nine business bites.

spotlight on

People & Ideas

Whisky To-Go-Go

Now there's a company that let's you taste your knowledge of fine blended Scotches by mixing a whisky of your own. Read More