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The Petrodollar Tsunami Is Here

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In time, the thesis goes, oil and gas should serve mainly as a fiscal trampoline, a safety net under a diverse economy that also embraces utilities, real estate, aviation, shipbuilding, health care, and information technology.

Little wonder, then, that Mubadala linked up with Carlyle. According to officials of both companies, part of the deal with Abu Dhabi includes a provision that requires Carlyle to guarantee its $20 billion valuation if—as the New York Times put it—the firm ever goes public, hinting that it may be an inevitability.

In the event that Carlyle, which currently manages about $77 billion in assets, is valued at less than $20 billion at the time of an offering, the firm would give Mubadala a larger piece of the business to make up for the difference, according to these officials.

Before the Carlyle deal, Mubadala partnered with Electronic Data Systems, the American outsourcing behemoth that employs some 120,000 around the world, and set up Injazat Data Systems as a 60-40 venture. Among its clients, the joint venture counts the Environment and Wildlife Development Authority, the U.A.E. Offsets Group, and the Abu Dhabi Water and Electricity Authority.

Mubadala has also acquired a 35 percent equity share of the Italian business-aircraft manufacturer Piaggio Aero; a 5 percent interest in automaker Ferrari; 25 percent of LeasePlan Corp., a fleet-management giant in the Netherlands; an unspecified stake in nine oil exploration sites in Libya; and part ownership of a gas processing plant in neighboring Qatar.

The Qatar deal, in fact, was in itself associated with a larger project, Dolphin Energy. The company—of which Mubadala owns 51 percent, with the rest split equally between Total of France and Occidental Petroleum of the U.S.—is creating the first cross-border natural-gas network of the six countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council.

Natural gas from Qatar's North Field moves through Dolphin's gas processing plant at Ras Laffan, where commercial byproducts are extracted. The dry gas—some 2 billion cubic feet daily—is then transported by pipeline to Abu Dhabi via Dolphin's 230-mile pipeline.

Other energy projects also figure prominently in Mubadala's plans, which are increasingly emphasizing regional cooperation. A wholly owned subsidiary, Liwa Energy Limited, for example, has struck an agreement with Oman to develop its Mukhaizna heavy oil field.

The goal is to increase production to 150,000 barrels per day from the current 10,000 barrels. There's the agreement with Oman Oil Company to develop the Salalah Methanol Project, which is designed to produce 3,000 tons per day.

There's significant cooperation with other emirates within the U.A.E. too. Mubadala has, for instance, teamed with Dubai's aluminum-smelting company, Dubal, to build a $6 billion aluminum-smelter complex at Taweelah in Abu Dhabi. It is designed to produce 1.2 million tons annually, which would make it the biggest single-site aluminum smelter in the world. It will also create more than 4,000 jobs, mostly for U.A.E. nationals.

Mubadala is not limiting itself to business and industry. It is reported to be developing educational institutions that would compete with the three national systems of higher education—the U.A.E. University, Zayed University, and the Higher Colleges of Technology. Mubadala's strategy? No surprise: linking up with foreign entities that export educational products and systems, particularly in the United States, Britain, Ireland, and Australia.

There is an old Arab saying: Never compete openly with your brothers. Mubadala's managers are among a new generation writing a new saying: Do whatever it takes.


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