Recent Blog Posts
-
The Year in Research
Dec 31 20089:13 am EDT -
Mind Your Value Judgements
Dec 19 20087:52 pm EDT -
S.E.C. Short-Sale Ban: Pretty Much Useless
Dec 19 20083:45 pm EDT -
Advice from Japan: Don't Forget TARP 1
Dec 19 20082:31 pm EDT -
Chart of the Day: Money Market Stress Easing
Dec 18 20088:57 pm EDT
Links
- Junk Charts

- Economic Principals

- New York Federal Reserve Research

- Sabernomics

- Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

- Sabermetric Research

- St. Louis Fed Research

- Bluematter

- NBER Working Papers

- TierneyLab

- Numbers Guy

- Social Science Statistics Blog

- DataPoints: The Dismal Scientist Blog

- Institute for the Study of Labor

- Predictably/Irrational

- Decision Science News

- Research Recap

- Econbrowser

- Center for Economic Policy Research

- Economist's View

- B.I.S. Working Papers

- Geary Behaviour Centre

- Real Time Economics

- Federal Reserve Working Papers

- C.B.O. Director's Blog

- Curious Capitalist

- VoxEU

- Freakonomics

- Philadelphia Fed Research

- O.E.C.D. Factblog

- MoneyScience

- Journal of Interest

- STATS Blog

- Email me

- EconTalk

- EconPapers

- Marginal Revolution

- Tim Harford

- Jeff Frankel

- Institute for the Study of Labor

- Social Science Research Network

Tax Payers Spent, Not Saved, Their '01 Rebates
This part of an otherwise nice piece on economic stimulus packages in the U.S. and U.K. by Tim Harford caught my eye:
Empirical economists are still arguing over whether Ricardian equivalence roughly holds, but one study by Matthew Shapiro and Joel Slemrod concluded that most U.S. citizens used a the 2001 tax windfall to pay off their debts, leaving more money available to pay future taxes--Ricardian equivalence in action.(emphasis added)
I've seen something along these lines stated a number of times in commentary about the current tax rebate, but it's worth mentioning that the study Harford cites is based on survey evidence and not actual data.
That's is not to say the same thing is sure to happen this time -- with American's attitudes towards the economy at 28-year lows, consumers would probably like to save a larger chunk of their rebate check. But with the prices of gas and food significantly higher than back in 2001, they may not be able to.






