Beyond GDP
By the curious standard of the GDP, the nation's economic hero is a terminal cancer patient that is going through a costly divorce. The happiest event is an earthquake or a hurricane. The most desirable habitat is a multibillion-dollar Superfund site. All these add to GDP, because they cause money to change hands. It is as if a business kept a balance sheet by merely adding up all 'transactions", without distinguishing between income and expenses, or between assets and liabilities.(Source)
It's only fitting that on the day market-based principles failed spectacularly, French President Nikolas Sarkozy named Nobel winner Joseph Stiglitz of Columbia University to head a panel tasked with finding new measures of economic growth that will include non-monetary components.
As described in the quote above, the biggest criticisms against using Gross Domestic Product as a proxy for well-being is that it's solely based on market transactions.
So, taking an extreme imaginary example, if one year Brazil tore down the entire Amazon as inputs for products sold on the market, merely looking at the GDP figure for that year would lead someone to believe that the country was an economic powerhouse. But, of course, the damage done to the environment would mean that GDP would plummet the following year.
In other words:
GDP does not reflect the consumption of capital during the production process, and thus overestimates the value of output that actually contributes to well-being without lowering future production.(emphasis mine)
And what about happiness? Although recent research has shown that national income is correlated to feelings of well-being among countries of different income groups, it's less the case among countries of the same group. Robust GDP growth can also mask growing incoming inequality. (And let's not forget that housework is absent from GDP too.)
Stiglitz tells the AFP that any new indicators developed by his panel might not "be a replacement of current measures, but may be a construction of complementary measures."
There is no shortage of alternative GDP measures, but in order for them to be taken seriously they must try to marry market activity with measures of health, inequality, well-being, and environmental impact -- plus they should be comparable internationally.
So, as inspiration for Stiglitz's panel (which will also feature Nobel laureate Amartya Sen of India), and for the visually minded, here is a Venn diagram from Deutsche Bank research that illustrates what GDP measures, and what it doesn't (click to enlarge):
And here is a list of alternative GDP measures that are out there already (organization that developed it in parenthesis). For a review of their strengths and weaknesses, see here (the biggest weakness for measures that go beyond market transactions is finding a universally agreeable way to put values on environmental impact, well-being, etc.):
Intended to adjust GDP:
- Genuine Progress Indicator - tries to correct GDP by monetizing environmental and social factors (Redefining Progress)
- Green GDP in China - tries to correct GDP by monetizing environmental factors (Chinese Government)
- Genuine Savings - provides estimates for savings by considering environmental and social factors (World Bank)
Intended to replace GDP:
- Human Development Index - combines GDP with social indicators (UN)
- Carbon Footprint - measures the ecological pressure of humanity in the biosphere (WWF and Carbon Footprint Network)
- Happy Planet Index - Life satisfaction data combined with environmental footprint data (new economics foundation)
- Environmental Sustainability Index/Environmental Performance Index - Tracks a society's capacity to improve environmental performance (Yale, WEF)
- Regional Quality of Development Index - combines social, environmental and economic data (Sbilanciamoci!)
Intended to complement GDP:
- System of Economic Environmental Accounts - combines environmental and economic data (UN)
- German Environmental Economic Accounting - German version of the above (German Government)
- National Accounts Matrix including Environmental Accounts - keeps track of how inputs and outputs in GDP affect the environment (Netherlands Government)
- System of Economic and Social Accounting matrices and Extensions - Similar to above but includes social welfare measures (Netherlands Government)
- Legalizing Insider Trading, With a Catch
- May 9 2008 5:34PM EDT
- Real Housewives of NYC -- A Lot of Them
- May 8 2008 7:10PM EDT
- When Envy Trumps Ambition
- May 7 2008 8:29AM EDT
- Achieving Universal Coverage at No Extra Cost
- May 1 2008 11:19AM EDT
- Gambling Strategies: Always Bet on White (Referees)
- Apr 30 2008 10:10PM EDT
- Unanswered Questions: To Pause or Not to Pause?
- Apr 30 2008 3:39PM EDT
- Grim Budget Outlook Forces Treasury to Bring Back 1-Year Bill
- Apr 30 2008 11:58AM EDT
- Does It Make Sense to Buy Forever Stamps?
- Apr 29 2008 9:58PM EDT
- When Jews and Christians Compete
- Apr 28 2008 10:05PM EDT
- Questioning the Link Between Commodity Wealth and Oppression
- Apr 25 2008 1:59PM EDT
- What's Up With the Manufacturing Data?
- Apr 24 2008 2:19PM EDT
- Don't Blame China for Rise in Inequality
- Apr 22 2008 6:11PM EDT
- Have Wages Kept Up With Productivity Growth?
- Apr 22 2008 1:53PM EDT
- The Death of Mega-Contracts in Baseball?
- Apr 21 2008 12:15AM EDT
- Should Short-Selling Be Restricted?
- Apr 17 2008 12:41PM EDT
Archive
May 2008
Categories
- advertising
- aging
- altruism
- art
- baseball
- basketball
- behavior
- books
- business cycles
- charts
- compensation
- crime
- derivatives
- drugs
- education
- elections
- ethics
- finance
- football
- foreign exchange
- gambling
- gender
- globalization
- golf
- growth
- happiness
- health care
- history
- incentives
- inequality
- interactive
- intolerance
- investing
- jobs
- marriage
- media
- monetary policy
- movies
- music
- obesity
- painting
- politics
- population
- prediction markets
- privacy
- psychology
- racism
- random
- religion
- roundup
- sex
- spending
- sports
- taxes
- trade
- war
Links
- Email me

- Bluematter

- Decision Science News

- Economist's View

- EconTalk

- EconPapers

- Freakonomics

- Geary Behaviour Centre

- Institute for the Study of Labor

- Journal of Interest

- Marginal Revolution

- MoneyScience

- NBER Working Papers

- New York Federal Reserve Research

- Research Recap

- Social Science Research Network

- Social Science Statistics Blog

- Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

- Unconventional Wisdom

- VoxEU






