Recent Blog Posts
-
The Times' Rorshach Geithner Story
Apr 27 20099:04am EDT -
Sinking Animal Spirits
Apr 27 20098:04am EDT -
Counter-cyclical Urban Policy
Apr 26 200910:04am EDT -
Be Your Own Counterfeiter
Apr 26 20099:04am EDT -
Being Tim Geithner
Apr 25 200912:04pm EDT -
Notes From a Press Conference Naif
Apr 25 20099:04am EDT -
What Good is the News?
Apr 25 20098:04am EDT -
Stressful Enough
Apr 24 20092:04pm EDT -
Not Regretting the Pound
Apr 24 20091:04pm EDT -
Introducing the New Ford Squeeze
Apr 24 20099:04am EDT -
Non-Economic Questions of the Day
Apr 24 20099:04am EDT -
The Stress Test Blind Alley
Apr 24 20098:04am EDT -
Happy Hour
Apr 23 20099:04pm EDT -
Recovery Without Rebalancing
Apr 23 20096:04pm EDT -
The Shape of Your Recession
Apr 23 20095:04pm EDT
Links
- Felix Salmon

- DealBreaker

- Ryan Avent: The Bellows

- The Epicurean Dealmaker

- Chris Anderson

- Ultimi Barbarorum

- MarketBeat

- Michelle Leder

- John Quiggin

- The Panelist

- Andrew Leonard

- Streetsblog

- Brad Setser

- Michael Mandel

- Financial Crookery

- Kash Mansori

- Dean Baker

- Calculated Risk

- Free Exchange

- Curbed

- Lance Knobel

- Econospeak

- Carbon Tax Center

- Overcoming Bias

- Mark Thoma

- Naked Capitalism

- Alphaville

- Barry Ritholtz

- Alexander Campbell

- The Bayesian Heresy

- Brad DeLong

- DealBook

- Greg Mankiw

- Deal Journal

- FP Passport

- Carl Bialik

- Marginal Revolution

- A Fistful of Euros

- Dan Gross

Is Nationalization Contagious?
Those of us in favor of bank nationalization don't want to nationalize all banks, just the massively insolvent ones which are too big to fail. But let's say that the government took over Bank of America and/or Citigroup, wiping out shareholders and probably preferred stockholders as well. What would happen to JP Morgan Chase and Wells Fargo? Would their stocks plunge in fear that they, too, might get nationalized, with their stock going to zero? And would such a plunge end up becoming a self-fulfilling prophecy?
I frankly don't know the answer to that question, but it is something for those of us in favor of nationalization to think about. If nationalizing Citigroup would constitute a death sentence for JP Morgan and Wells Fargo, such a decision could involve a great deal of wealth destruction, given that those two banks are worth $140 billion between them.
Update: I should mention that this idea obviously comes straight from Tyler Cowen, whom I linked to earlier. But then I went out for drinks with a friend, and talked about these things, and then I watched a documentary about Helvetica, and by the time I posted this entry I knew the idea was in my head but had forgotten exactly where it had come from. Thanks to Jim Surowiecki for working it out for me. In any case, here's how Tyler put it:
The risk is that nationalization becomes a contagious idea and spreads from one bank to the next, acting as a self-fulfilling prophecy.
Obviously, the contagious-nationalization meme is almost as contagious as nationalization itself!






