Recent Blog Posts
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The Times' Rorshach Geithner Story
Apr 27 20099:04am EDT -
Sinking Animal Spirits
Apr 27 20098:04am EDT -
Counter-cyclical Urban Policy
Apr 26 200910:04am EDT -
Be Your Own Counterfeiter
Apr 26 20099:04am EDT -
Being Tim Geithner
Apr 25 200912:04pm EDT -
Notes From a Press Conference Naif
Apr 25 20099:04am EDT -
What Good is the News?
Apr 25 20098:04am EDT -
Stressful Enough
Apr 24 20092:04pm EDT -
Not Regretting the Pound
Apr 24 20091:04pm EDT -
Introducing the New Ford Squeeze
Apr 24 20099:04am EDT -
Non-Economic Questions of the Day
Apr 24 20099:04am EDT -
The Stress Test Blind Alley
Apr 24 20098:04am EDT -
Happy Hour
Apr 23 20099:04pm EDT -
Recovery Without Rebalancing
Apr 23 20096:04pm EDT -
The Shape of Your Recession
Apr 23 20095:04pm EDT
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Where are the Risk Auditors?
As Roger Lowenstein says, Ezra Merkin was (is?) "a Wall Street sage, noted philanthropist and professional money manager". And yet for all his protestations that he was risk-conscious and diversified and an expert at due diligence, he still ended up simply investing substantially all of many of his investors' funds with Bernie Madoff.
This is the really invidious lesson of the Madoff mess: not that some fund managers are crooks, but rather that there is no way of knowing whether the non-crook fund and fund-of-funds managers are being entirely honest when they talk great game about their risk controls.
It strikes me that there is, or should be, serious demand for a trustworthy and reliable auditor who can check up on such claims. If I were running a hedge fund or fund-of-funds with elaborate and expensive and effective risk controls, I'd be eager to pay such an auditor a relatively modest sum to be able to distinguish myself from the frauds who talk a great game but who in reality do nothing. Even banks might avail themselves of such a service, in an attempt to persuade investors that they really have reduced their tail risks.
What's more, the existence of such an auditor might well do a good job in empowering professional risk managers, who tend during good times to get overruled by superiors who are strongly incentivized to make money rather than minimize risk. "If you go ahead and do this," they could say, "we'll lose our A+ rating from Risk Auditors Ltd".
Of course, anybody setting themselves up as such an auditor would need impeccable credentials when it comes to measuring risk in practice, and keeping proprietary secrets. Is there anybody out there who fits the bill?






