Recent Blog Posts
-
The Times' Rorshach Geithner Story
Apr 27 20099:04am EDT -
Sinking Animal Spirits
Apr 27 20098:04am EDT -
Counter-cyclical Urban Policy
Apr 26 200910:04am EDT -
Be Your Own Counterfeiter
Apr 26 20099:04am EDT -
Being Tim Geithner
Apr 25 200912:04pm EDT -
Notes From a Press Conference Naif
Apr 25 20099:04am EDT -
What Good is the News?
Apr 25 20098:04am EDT -
Stressful Enough
Apr 24 20092:04pm EDT -
Not Regretting the Pound
Apr 24 20091:04pm EDT -
Introducing the New Ford Squeeze
Apr 24 20099:04am EDT -
Non-Economic Questions of the Day
Apr 24 20099:04am EDT -
The Stress Test Blind Alley
Apr 24 20098:04am EDT -
Happy Hour
Apr 23 20099:04pm EDT -
Recovery Without Rebalancing
Apr 23 20096:04pm EDT -
The Shape of Your Recession
Apr 23 20095:04pm EDT
Links
- Felix Salmon

- DealBreaker

- Ryan Avent: The Bellows

- The Epicurean Dealmaker

- Chris Anderson

- Ultimi Barbarorum

- MarketBeat

- Michelle Leder

- John Quiggin

- The Panelist

- Andrew Leonard

- Streetsblog

- Brad Setser

- Michael Mandel

- Financial Crookery

- Kash Mansori

- Dean Baker

- Calculated Risk

- Free Exchange

- Curbed

- Lance Knobel

- Econospeak

- Carbon Tax Center

- Overcoming Bias

- Mark Thoma

- Naked Capitalism

- Alphaville

- Barry Ritholtz

- Alexander Campbell

- The Bayesian Heresy

- Brad DeLong

- DealBook

- Greg Mankiw

- Deal Journal

- FP Passport

- Carl Bialik

- Marginal Revolution

- A Fistful of Euros

- Dan Gross

How Risk is Like Religion
Religion is, generally, inherited: the chances are overwhelming that a person of any given religion will have parents of that religion. On the other hand, if your parents are complete religious nutcases, there's a higher-than-normal chance that you'll reject their beliefs.
Risk, it seems, is much like religion in this respect:


According to Thomas Dohmen, Armin Falk, David Huffman, and Uwe Sunde, there is an extremely strong correlation between parents' risk attitudes and those of their children:
We find that parents who are more trusting and parents who are risk tolerant have children with similar attitudes... Parents also tend to marry individuals with similar trust and risk attitudes. This reinforces the impact on the child; having one parent with a given attitude means that the child is likely to have a second parent with that attitude as well.
This could help explain why rich families tend to remain rich, and poor families tend to remain poor, across many generations, just as religion tends to stick around within families:
Evidence of transmission of attitudes from parents to children is also highly relevant for understanding why there is a strong persistence in economic outcomes across generations for individual families. There is a large literature studying social mobility with countries, which documents substantial correlations between parents and children in terms of wealth, education, and occupation. Transmission of attitudes could be one mechanism underlying such correlations: one reason that children may end up with similar outcomes to their parents may be that they inherit similar attitudes and thus make similar economic choices. Trust and risk attitudes are both relevant for the types of outcomes that are typically correlated between parents and children, such as wealth accumulation and occupational choice.
But the datapoints which fascinate me are the ones at the far right hand edge of the graphs, where the children of parents (especially mothers) with extremely high risk tolerance turn out to be unusually risk-averse. It's as though kids will accept just about anything which seems remotely reasonable, but are still quite good at rejecting the obviously unreasonable. Which seems reasonable to me.
(HT: Thoma)






