Recent Blog Posts
-
The Times' Rorshach Geithner Story
Apr 27 20099:04am EDT -
Sinking Animal Spirits
Apr 27 20098:04am EDT -
Counter-cyclical Urban Policy
Apr 26 200910:04am EDT -
Be Your Own Counterfeiter
Apr 26 20099:04am EDT -
Being Tim Geithner
Apr 25 200912:04pm EDT -
Notes From a Press Conference Naif
Apr 25 20099:04am EDT -
What Good is the News?
Apr 25 20098:04am EDT -
Stressful Enough
Apr 24 20092:04pm EDT -
Not Regretting the Pound
Apr 24 20091:04pm EDT -
Introducing the New Ford Squeeze
Apr 24 20099:04am EDT -
Non-Economic Questions of the Day
Apr 24 20099:04am EDT -
The Stress Test Blind Alley
Apr 24 20098:04am EDT -
Happy Hour
Apr 23 20099:04pm EDT -
Recovery Without Rebalancing
Apr 23 20096:04pm EDT -
The Shape of Your Recession
Apr 23 20095:04pm EDT
Links
- Felix Salmon

- DealBreaker

- Ryan Avent: The Bellows

- The Epicurean Dealmaker

- Chris Anderson

- Ultimi Barbarorum

- MarketBeat

- Michelle Leder

- John Quiggin

- The Panelist

- Andrew Leonard

- Streetsblog

- Brad Setser

- Michael Mandel

- Financial Crookery

- Kash Mansori

- Dean Baker

- Calculated Risk

- Free Exchange

- Curbed

- Lance Knobel

- Econospeak

- Carbon Tax Center

- Overcoming Bias

- Mark Thoma

- Naked Capitalism

- Alphaville

- Barry Ritholtz

- Alexander Campbell

- The Bayesian Heresy

- Brad DeLong

- DealBook

- Greg Mankiw

- Deal Journal

- FP Passport

- Carl Bialik

- Marginal Revolution

- A Fistful of Euros

- Dan Gross

S&P Stops Rating Bonds Which Aren't Being Issued
I missed this on Thursday:
Standard & Poor's will stop rating new bonds composed of U.S. second mortgages, saying it's too hard to assess the debt while the housing slump continues...
The unit of McGraw-Hill Cos. said today that it will continue to assess outstanding securities by looking at delinquency and default levels.
This raises more questions than it answers. Firstly, how many bonds does this affect? Remember it only applies to new bonds composed of closed-end second liens - S&P is continuing to rate bonds comprising Helocs. Are there any such new bonds to rate?
And secondly, isn't this an admission that the mechanism for rating new bonds is broken, and has been for a while? Given that mechanism is based on a now-discredited model, and given that the wave of defaults on second-lien mortgages is very recent and largely unprecedented, how on earth can S&P consider its existing ratings on outstanding second-lien-backed bonds to be remotely reliable? If there's no way of knowing how creditworthy a new second-lien-backed bond is, there's no way of knowing how creditworthy an old one is, either.
Finally, if and when the market in these bonds ever reappears, what are the chances that S&P will start rating it again? I'd wager they're pretty high. It's all well and good proclaiming that you won't eat cake so long as no one's serving it to you; the real test is when you go to the birthday party and everybody else is stuffing their face.






