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The Times' Rorshach Geithner Story
Apr 27 20099:04am EDT -
Sinking Animal Spirits
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Counter-cyclical Urban Policy
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Be Your Own Counterfeiter
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Being Tim Geithner
Apr 25 200912:04pm EDT -
Notes From a Press Conference Naif
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What Good is the News?
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Stressful Enough
Apr 24 20092:04pm EDT -
Not Regretting the Pound
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Introducing the New Ford Squeeze
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Non-Economic Questions of the Day
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The Stress Test Blind Alley
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Happy Hour
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Recovery Without Rebalancing
Apr 23 20096:04pm EDT -
The Shape of Your Recession
Apr 23 20095:04pm EDT
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Eyes on the Dow
DealBreaker's John Carney is obviously worried about the stock market today. At last glance the Dow was down more than 400 points, with Alcoa and GM both down more than 6%. Nasty, to be sure. But the Dow, as we all know, is an average, not an index, and doesn't necessarily reflect the stock market as a whole. Indeed, today the S&P 500 is actually doing even worse than the Dow.
But as Carney found out today, the trading curbs on the NYSE are based on the S&P 500 or on any stock market index: they're based on the DJIA. Which is just weird. After all, IBM and Boeing between them account for more than 13% of the DJIA: if they both plunged in early trade, they could bring the entire exchange to a halt even if no other company fell a penny. Add in a couple more companies (Exxon and 3M, say), and you're already well over 20% of the Dow right there.
In any case, I'm utterly unworried about this latest stock-market wobble. The Dow is still well above 13,000, and in fact has never traded this high in its history except for a brief period earlier this month. I'm sure that there are going to be all manner of apocalyptic headlines tomorrow morning, but really this is little more than a bit of long-absent volatility finally finding its way into the stock market.






