Recent Blog Posts
-
The Times' Rorshach Geithner Story
Apr 27 20099:04am EDT -
Sinking Animal Spirits
Apr 27 20098:04am EDT -
Counter-cyclical Urban Policy
Apr 26 200910:04am EDT -
Be Your Own Counterfeiter
Apr 26 20099:04am EDT -
Being Tim Geithner
Apr 25 200912:04pm EDT -
Notes From a Press Conference Naif
Apr 25 20099:04am EDT -
What Good is the News?
Apr 25 20098:04am EDT -
Stressful Enough
Apr 24 20092:04pm EDT -
Not Regretting the Pound
Apr 24 20091:04pm EDT -
Introducing the New Ford Squeeze
Apr 24 20099:04am EDT -
Non-Economic Questions of the Day
Apr 24 20099:04am EDT -
The Stress Test Blind Alley
Apr 24 20098:04am EDT -
Happy Hour
Apr 23 20099:04pm EDT -
Recovery Without Rebalancing
Apr 23 20096:04pm EDT -
The Shape of Your Recession
Apr 23 20095:04pm EDT
Links
- Felix Salmon

- DealBreaker

- Ryan Avent: The Bellows

- The Epicurean Dealmaker

- Chris Anderson

- Ultimi Barbarorum

- MarketBeat

- Michelle Leder

- John Quiggin

- The Panelist

- Andrew Leonard

- Streetsblog

- Brad Setser

- Michael Mandel

- Financial Crookery

- Kash Mansori

- Dean Baker

- Calculated Risk

- Free Exchange

- Curbed

- Lance Knobel

- Econospeak

- Carbon Tax Center

- Overcoming Bias

- Mark Thoma

- Naked Capitalism

- Alphaville

- Barry Ritholtz

- Alexander Campbell

- The Bayesian Heresy

- Brad DeLong

- DealBook

- Greg Mankiw

- Deal Journal

- FP Passport

- Carl Bialik

- Marginal Revolution

- A Fistful of Euros

- Dan Gross

Anti-Counterfeiting Bill Doing Well in Washington
John McCary of the Wall Street Journal reports today on the Bayh-Voinovich bill, an anti-counterfeiting bill which got nowhere in 2005 but which has slightly better prospects now, in the wake of minor revisions.
There's really nothing objectionable about the bill itself, which "ensure that agencies like the Treasury and Justice departments share information on counterfeiting investigations, including those involving terrorist financing," according to McCary. At worst, this is a minor waste of time, especially if no counterfeiting investigations turn up any connection to terrorist financing. At best, it could increase the chances of catching counterfeiters and terrorists both.
What is objectionable, however, is the rhetoric involved.
"If thousands of our businesspeople were being held up at gunpoint in a foreign country, if our laboratories and research facilities were being raided and shut down by unidentified individuals, there would be a sense of alarm," said Sen. Evan Bayh, an Indiana Democrat, referring to the persistence of product piracy. "That is in effect what is happening today."
Er, no. No US businesspeople are being "held up at gunpoint" – in fact, guns tend to be conspicuously absent from any counterfeiting investigations. No US labs or research facilities are being raided or shut down, either. So quite why Bayh insists on this kind of hyperbole is unclear. But politicians are prone to hyperbole: it's the press which is meant to keep them in some kind of check. McCary never says that Bayh's assertions are ridiculously over-the-top – maybe he reckons that's so obvious that he doesn't need to. But then he writes this, with a completely straight face:
Counterfeiting is estimated to cost U.S. companies more than $250 billion in lost revenue each year. Globally, its costs have been estimated at $600 billion annually. The World Health Organization estimates that up to 10% of the world's pharmaceuticals may be counterfeit. Both the U.S. government and Interpol, the international police organization, have pointed to connections between counterfeit sales and terrorist financing.
US companies don't lose anything close to $250 billion due to counterfeiting, and the global costs aren't anywhere near $600 billion. These are invented figures, pulled out of thin air, with no empirical basis at all. They should not be represented as facts in the Wall Street Journal, even when they're immodestly covered with an "estimated at" figleaf.
As for the connections between counterfeiting and terrorist financing, they're tenuous at best, and generally consist of typical underworld linkages between criminals and paramilitaries in places such as Northern Ireland, Kosovo, and Chechnya.
The one somewhat reassuring part of McCary's article is when he mentions, en passant, that 'the Justice Department said in a letter to Judiciary Committee Chairman Sen. Patrick Leahy that the bill has "serious flaws" and that the agency wouldn't support it.' Maybe there are still some parts of the US government which are more interested in substance than spin.






