Recent Blog Posts
-
The Times' Rorshach Geithner Story
Apr 27 20099:04am EDT -
Sinking Animal Spirits
Apr 27 20098:04am EDT -
Counter-cyclical Urban Policy
Apr 26 200910:04am EDT -
Be Your Own Counterfeiter
Apr 26 20099:04am EDT -
Being Tim Geithner
Apr 25 200912:04pm EDT -
Notes From a Press Conference Naif
Apr 25 20099:04am EDT -
What Good is the News?
Apr 25 20098:04am EDT -
Stressful Enough
Apr 24 20092:04pm EDT -
Not Regretting the Pound
Apr 24 20091:04pm EDT -
Introducing the New Ford Squeeze
Apr 24 20099:04am EDT -
Non-Economic Questions of the Day
Apr 24 20099:04am EDT -
The Stress Test Blind Alley
Apr 24 20098:04am EDT -
Happy Hour
Apr 23 20099:04pm EDT -
Recovery Without Rebalancing
Apr 23 20096:04pm EDT -
The Shape of Your Recession
Apr 23 20095:04pm EDT
Links
- Felix Salmon

- DealBreaker

- Ryan Avent: The Bellows

- The Epicurean Dealmaker

- Chris Anderson

- Ultimi Barbarorum

- MarketBeat

- Michelle Leder

- John Quiggin

- The Panelist

- Andrew Leonard

- Streetsblog

- Brad Setser

- Michael Mandel

- Financial Crookery

- Kash Mansori

- Dean Baker

- Calculated Risk

- Free Exchange

- Curbed

- Lance Knobel

- Econospeak

- Carbon Tax Center

- Overcoming Bias

- Mark Thoma

- Naked Capitalism

- Alphaville

- Barry Ritholtz

- Alexander Campbell

- The Bayesian Heresy

- Brad DeLong

- DealBook

- Greg Mankiw

- Deal Journal

- FP Passport

- Carl Bialik

- Marginal Revolution

- A Fistful of Euros

- Dan Gross

Can Mortgage-Backed Bonds be Restructured?
Amidst all the noise and hype surrounding the subprime mortgage market, there's one thing which hasn't got a lot of press. (USA Today, astonishingly, seems to be ahead of the curve here.) If loans have been pooled, tranched, retranched, and sold to hundreds of investors and CDOs and the like, what happens when the loans goes bad? How much leeway do loan servicers have to modify loans which are owned by a disparate set of bondholders? And what kind of mechanism exists for bondholders or ratings agencies to approve servicers helping out homeowners in distress?
I've been looking into this a little bit, after attending a panel at the Milken Institute Conference where Lew Ranieri brought up the subject. Calculated Risk has a transcript of some of his comments:
The real dilemma for me and I think the real issue . . . will be, we've never had to do substantial restructurings in housing in mortgage securities.
They were always in portfolios, and that made it very easy or at least, we didn't have to get 409 people or we didn't have to rent the Nassau Coliseum to have a bondholders meeting; we could do it very quickly. In a very long meeting, last Monday, where we tried to collect virtually everybody in a room, it became evident that there are a whole host of unforeseen technical problems if you try to restructure or do large amounts of restructuring within the security, some of which, we had never even heard of or thought about.
One of the accountants raised his hand and said if you restructure that many loans, you're going to taint the Q election and FAS 140 and what he was basically saying in English for the rest of [us] poor fools, was that there is a presumption when you - when a bank sells loans, into a securitization that it sold the loans . . . And what he was saying is wait a minute, if you guys can restructure all these loans without going back to bondholder, you obviously have control and you've just tainted 140 and Q election.
I'm no expert on FAS 140, and I don't even know what a "Q election" is, but it does seem to be the case that when more than 5% of the loans in a pool need to be restructured, the servicer often needs to get permission, which isn't something a lot of servicers have had to do in the past. And when 30% of the loans in a pool need to be restructured, there's a good chance you need unanimous bondholder consent for that, which is something all but impossible to get.
So, if anybody could point me to places or people where I could learn about whether and how mortgage-backed securities might be able to be restructured, I'll be most obliged – and I'll report back here as and when I learn anything.






