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The Times' Rorshach Geithner Story

The New York Times has provided a handy blogging point for today in the form of a long piece on the relationships Tim Geithner formed while head of the New York Fed. The story is based in part on the ... Continue
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Sinking Animal Spirits

There are many more pandemic threats than there are pandemics, and so I hope and expect that swine flu will run its course fairly quickly and without too much damage being done. Still, it's difficult to overstate how bad the ... Continue
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Counter-cyclical Urban Policy

Matt Yglesias contrasts the fates of the Flint, Michigan and Baltimore, Maryland and the respective policies those fates imply. Where Flint is a declining city in a declining region, which needs help managing its decline, Baltimore is a struggling city ... Continue
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Be Your Own Counterfeiter

One of the stories that was circulating through CNN's news coverage this weekend (but which may have now been crowded out by swine flu, on which more later), was a major bust of counterfeit goods in Brooklyn, New York. Authorities ... Continue
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Being Tim Geithner

Justin Fox takes a crack at listing all the possible reasons that the administration might be following its current banking strategy (and offers me a kind welcome; thanks Justin!). He says he's leaning toward the following two explanations:- It's the ... Continue
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Notes From a Press Conference Naif

I was in attendance at Tim Geithner's press conference yesterday, at which he spoke briefly about the G7 Ministers meeting and answered a few questions. I hope it isn't too damaging to my credibility as an economics writer to say ... Continue
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What Good is the News?

No doubt you've heard from or about Amity Shlaes in recent months. She's been in demand; her revisionist views on the impact of the New Deal on the economy of the Depression have made her the darling of conservatives seeking ... Continue
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Stressful Enough

The outline (PDF) of the methodology used to stress test the banks is out, and I already see some people arguing that it's not nearly stressful enough. And they have a point; the adverse scenario only has unemployment heading a ... Continue
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Not Regretting the Pound

It has been interesting to watch the pendulum of opinion on the benefits of eurozone membership swing back and forth during the financial crisis and recession. For every country who ends up wishing they were on the euro (Iceland), there ... Continue

Introducing the New Ford Squeeze

The most fascinating thing to me about the coverage of the fate of Chrysler and General Motors is the extent to which the language has changed since earlier this year and late last year. In 2008, the automakers were all ... Continue
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Non-Economic Questions of the Day

So let me get this straight -- Dick Cheney is the remarkably unpopular former vice-president who led his party to an epic electoral defeat and who has now been revealed as someone who unequivocally supported the use of torture to ... Continue
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The Stress Test Blind Alley

Today, the government will begin discussing the results of its stress tests with heads of the nation's 19 larger banks in meetings in Washington and will release the methodology of the tests to the public. Then, of course, we'll all ... Continue
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Happy Hour

Assuming we're still in the recession, what are the odds that the peak in the four-week moving average of initial unemployment claims represents the peak for the downturn as a whole? Just 37%, says Jim Hamilton. "Well, working on Wall ... Continue
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Recovery Without Rebalancing

The Economist has a long hard look at the glimmers of green shoots of hope we've all been discussing, and comes away a bit skeptical. The problem is this: government policy will probably put an end to the decline in ... Continue
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The Shape of Your Recession

David Wessel uses his column today to outline potential shapes of the recession and recovery. There's V and L (sharp recovery and no recovery, respectively), and then D, which isn't a shape but instead stands for Depression. Why not just ... Continue
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The Ideas of Simon Johnson

As a sage and star of the ongoing economic crisis, Simon Johnson has risen in stature impossibly fast. His rising stock spiked with the recent publication of a piece in the Atlantic, describing his view of America as a nation ... Continue

Newspaper Economics: Behind in the Count

Henry Blodget links to this story outlining the latest in dire news for the newspaper business -- the New York Times Company may be worthless:"Net debt to (operating profit) is way too high," Barclays analyst Craig Huber said in a ... Continue
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Risk Reversion

Felix is preparing to give a speech to some bond dealers, and he's been kind enough to post his notes to his blog. Here's a bit I like:I believed along with Alan Greenspan that when it comes to debt instruments ... Continue
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The Waiting Is the Hardest Part

Via Paul Kedrosky, this is a nice piece on traffic by Jonah Lehrer:A few years ago, the Swiss economists Bruno Frey and Alois Stutzer announced the discovery of a new human foible, which they called "the commuters paradox". They found ... Continue
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Getting Geithner

If you haven't yet had a chance to look at Gary Weiss' profile of Tim Geithner, consider doing so now. I've been reflecting on the conclusion:With such talent surrounding him, and with the administration beginning to fill all those vacant ... Continue
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