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Pros Feel the Pain

Financial executives say the crisis of 2008 is the worst they've seen, and that Obama and McCain offer little hope.
Pain
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Half of U.S. financial executives say the current economic climate is the worst they've seen in their careers, according to a new poll from Condé Nast Portfolio.
 
The poll, conducted in early October of top finance executives from across the country, shows 77 percent of executives in the sector are convinced their industry is in a state of crisis. More than half—56 percent—say the economy is in a significant recession, and 50 percent say the economy is the worst they've encountered. ( See an interactive feature of the data.)
 
In terms of the presidential election, neither Barack Obama nor John McCain gets a clear vote of confidence from finance executives: 18 percent have a lot of confidence in Obama's approach to dealing with the country's economic problems, while only 8 percent have a lot of confidence in McCain's approach to the same issues; 42 percent have hardly any confidence in Obama, while 24 percent have hardly any in McCain.
 
The poll, conducted for the magazine by Hart Research Associates, is the first major survey of financial executives since the Wall Street crisis began six weeks ago. Full results of the poll will be published in the December issue of Condé Nast Portfolio.
 
Asked for their views of the government's recent moves to revive the economy, a quarter of finance executives view the bailout as simply a way to reward companies and C.E.O.'s for bad behavior. A third blame the crisis on bad business decisions by financial firms.
 
More than a third of the 402 executives polled are worried about their own financial situation and 44 percent think there's a chance they could lose their job in the next year.


Please note: All results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated.

1a. In which part of the financial sector do you currently work?

A depository banking and/or lending institution  36
A securities or commodity brokerage firm  15
An investment-banking firm  13
An insurance company  4
A non-depository credit institution  3
Other type of financial-services company  29

1b. Which one of the following best describes your current job title?

President/chief executive officer  7
Chief operating officer (C.O.O.)  4
Chief financial officer (C.F.O.)  3
Chief accounting officer (C.A.O.)  -
Chief information officer (C.I.O.)  2
Senior vice president  18
Vice president  54
Other senior executive  12

2a. How many years have you been employed by your company?
20 years or more  15
11 to 19 years  24
Six to 10 years  25
Five years or less  36

2b. How many years in total have you worked in the financial sector, for any company?
20 years or more  47
11 to 19 years  32
Six to 10 years  16
Five years or less  5

2c. How many employees currently work for your company in all U.S. locations?
Less than 50  -
50 to 99  15
100 to 499  27
500 to 999  16
1,000 or more  42


View of the broader economy…


3a. Thinking back over the course of your career, how would you rate the current economic climate in the United States overall today? Is the current economic climate the best that you have experienced, above average, average, below average, or the worst that you have experienced?
Best  2
Above average  2
Average  6
Below average 40
Worst 50

3b. Which phrase do you think best describes the state of the economy today?
Generally good 1
In a modest downturn  6
In a mild recession 34
In a significant recession 56
In a depression  3

4. Thinking about the next year or so, how would you describe your outlook for the economy overallvery optimistic, somewhat optimistic, uncertain, somewhat pessimistic, or very pessimistic?
Very optimistic  2
Somewhat optimistic 21
Uncertain 35
Somewhat pessimistic 30
Very pessimistic 12

5. And, in the longer term, thinking about the next three to five years, how would you describe your outlook for the economy overallvery optimistic, somewhat optimistic, uncertain, somewhat pessimistic, or very pessimistic?
Very optimistic 15
Somewhat optimistic 51
Uncertain 23
Somewhat pessimistic 10
Very pessimistic 1

6. What do you personally consider to be the biggest challenge, threat, or problem facing the U.S. economy today?
Credit crunch, credit/market crisis, availability of credit 18
Mortgage crisis, housing crisis, people losing homes/foreclosures 9
Consumer spending habits, lack of accountability 7
Lack of jobs, unemployment 6
Size/growth of national debt 6
Housing/real estate prices, real estate market 6
Lack of confidence/trust, restoring public confidence in economy 6
Liquidity, increasing liquidity into the system, long-term liquidity 6
All others 12
Don't know, no response 2

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